Events · 2026

Adelaide tennis statsATP 250

HARD (OUTDOOR)·COMPLETED·12 – 17 Jan

City: Adelaide

250
Points: 2020
Since

Champion: Machac
Service pts won: 73%

Conditions and court

How this court played, and how the numbers compare with the tour average on hard.

Court speed

1.04

Medium

Measured from how the week actually played — ace and service-hold rates against what the same players produce elsewhere — so it carries altitude, humidity, ball choice and session conditions the court's own rating cannot see.

Altitude

50 m

Day high 25–34°C · Night low 13–19°C · Wind 15–40 km/h

Event averages

Aces per matchTour hard 7.28.1
Service points wonTour hard 64%73%
Serve heldTour hard 79%81%
Tiebreaks per matchTour hard 0.610.45
Straight-set winsTour hard 66%62%

OWLsense

What the draw and the conditions produced this year, written out and dated.

Refreshed 12 JAN

Champion12 – 17 JAN
Machac took the title this year.
Champions
Serving12 – 17 JAN
Service points won average 73% at this event.
Event averages
Weather12 – 17 JAN
Typical week bands: Day high 25–34°C · Night low 13–19°C · Wind 15–40 km/h.
Conditions

Final

12 – 17 Jan

Match report

Champion

Machac

First title here

6-4 6-7 6-2

Runner-up

Humbert

Second final here

Performance by playing style

Win rate here against each style’s ATP average. Top over-performers, bars in decreasing win rate. Which profile the court rewards.

Since 2020 · 213 matches

56%

SERVE BASE

56%

BOOM/BUST

56%

SOLID SV

55%

COUNTER-P.

46%

SOLID RTN

40%

POWER

39%

TOPSPIN

Big-serving baseliner
56%70W-54L
+2 PPATP avg 55%
Boom-or-bust aggressor
56%24W-19L
+9 PPATP avg 46%
Solid server
56%15W-12L
+9 PPATP avg 46%
Offensive counterpuncher
55%34W-28L
+5 PPATP avg 50%
Solid returner
46%17W-20L
+3 PPATP avg 43%
Power baseliner
40%20W-30L
-10 PPATP avg 50%
Heavy topspin baseliner
39%15W-23L
-11 PPATP avg 50%

Underdog winners by phase

Share of matches won by the underdog at each round.

Since 2020 · 213 matches

1st Round
24/98
24%
2nd Round
11/61
18%
Quarterfinals
4/31
13%
Semifinals
5/15
33%
The Final
3/8
38%

Early rounds
Favourites mostly hold in the first week
1ST 24% · 2ND 18%. Combined 35 underdog winners in 159 matches.
Quarter-finals
QF is the peak
13% of QF matches (4 of 31). 10 PP below the tour rate for this round.
Closing out
Upsets still land at the end
SF 33% · FINAL 38%. 8 underdog winners in 23 closing matches.
Playing styles
Offensive counterpuncher win as dogs
46% when priced as the underdog (16–19). Also: Big-serving baseliner 45% (24–29); Heavy topspin baseliner 36% (9–16).

Biggest shocks

Closing decimal price · winner and beaten favourite

1ST ROUND · 2023
WonHaase R.—
LostBonzi B.—
Final score7-0 7-6
1ST ROUND · 202316.1% implied
WonPopyrin A.6.20
LostAuger-Aliassime F.1.15
Final score6-4 7-6
1ST ROUND · 202519.9% implied
WonGuinard M.5.02
LostSafiullin R.1.21
Final score7-6 2-6 6-1
1ST ROUND · 202325.0% implied
WonNishioka Y.4.00
LostRune H.1.28
Final score2-6 6-4 6-4
1ST ROUND · 202628.5% implied
WonVukic A.3.51
LostTsitsipas S.1.29
Final score7-6 7-6

Champions

Most recent first. Filled marker is a first title at this event.

6 of 7 shown

2026MachacCurrentbeat Humbert6-4 6-7 6-2
2025Auger-Aliassimebeat Korda6-3 3-6 6-1
2024Leheckabeat Draper4-6 6-4 6-3
2023Kwonbeat Korda6-7 7-6 6-4
2022Monfilsbeat Khachanov6-4 6-4
2021Sinnerbeat Travaglia

Conditions, in the players' words

What players said about the court, the ball and the heat this year. Each note carries the session it came from.

Placeholder copy

Heat and humidity
2025
Said the hot, fast conditions feel like home
Korda
Court pace
2024
Said the balls get very slow and heavy ('lemons') after a few rallies, especially when colder
Kokkinakis
Court pace
2024
Said he feels very confident on this fast court and likes it
Lehecka
Heat and humidity
2024
Separately noted the roofed sessions feel humid and different from open-air play
Lehecka
Night sessions
2023
Said night conditions play slower and lower-bouncing, which helps against huge servers
Djokovic
Ball behaviour
2022
Said the quick courts suit his game, rewarding fast ball recognition
Cilic
Court pace
2022
Found the courts surprisingly fast and low-bouncing, with strong wind disrupting rhythm at times
Heliovaara
Heat and humidity
2020
Said the heat was so extreme that just surviving mattered more than how he played
Bublik
Heat and humidity
2020
Said conditions closely resemble Melbourne: dry, hot and windy
Heliovaara

Recurring themes

Hot conditions
Fast court
Slow bounce
Humid afternoons
Slower under lights
Ball fluffs up

Explore the event

Serving on this court
73%
Service points won
Hold rate
81%
Service games held

Adelaide

Events · 2026

Official site ↗

Adelaide tennis statsATP 250

HARD (OUTDOOR)·COMPLETED·12 – 17 Jan

City: Adelaide

250
Points: 2020
Since

Champion: Machac
Service pts won: 73%

Conditions and court

How this court played, and how the numbers compare with the tour average on hard.

Court speed

1.04

Medium

Altitude

50 m

Day high 25–34°C · Night low 13–19°C · Wind 15–40 km/h

Event averages

Aces per matchTour hard 7.28.1
Service points wonTour hard 64%73%
Serve heldTour hard 79%81%
Tiebreaks per matchTour hard 0.610.45
Straight-set winsTour hard 66%62%

OWLsense

What the draw and the conditions produced this year, written out and dated.

Refreshed 12 JAN

Champion12 – 17 JAN
Machac took the title this year.
Champions
Serving12 – 17 JAN
Service points won average 73% at this event.
Event averages
Weather12 – 17 JAN
Typical week bands: Day high 25–34°C · Night low 13–19°C · Wind 15–40 km/h.
Conditions

Final

12 – 17 Jan

Match report

Champion

Machac

First title here

6-4 6-7 6-2

Runner-up

Humbert

Second final here

Performance by playing style

Win rate here against each style’s ATP average. Top over-performers, bars in decreasing win rate. Which profile the court rewards.

Since 2020 · 213 matches

56%

SERVE BASE

56%

BOOM/BUST

56%

SOLID SV

55%

COUNTER-P.

46%

SOLID RTN

40%

POWER

39%

TOPSPIN

Big-serving baseliner
56%70W-54L
+2 PPATP avg 55%
Boom-or-bust aggressor
56%24W-19L
+9 PPATP avg 46%
Solid server
56%15W-12L
+9 PPATP avg 46%
Offensive counterpuncher
55%34W-28L
+5 PPATP avg 50%
Solid returner
46%17W-20L
+3 PPATP avg 43%
Power baseliner
40%20W-30L
-10 PPATP avg 50%
Heavy topspin baseliner
39%15W-23L
-11 PPATP avg 50%

Underdog winners by phase

Share of matches won by the underdog at each round.

Since 2020 · 213 matches

1st Round
24/98
24%
2nd Round
11/61
18%
Quarterfinals
4/31
13%
Semifinals
5/15
33%
The Final
3/8
38%

Early rounds
Favourites mostly hold in the first week
1ST 24% · 2ND 18%. Combined 35 underdog winners in 159 matches.
Quarter-finals
QF is the peak
13% of QF matches (4 of 31). 10 PP below the tour rate for this round.
Closing out
Upsets still land at the end
SF 33% · FINAL 38%. 8 underdog winners in 23 closing matches.
Playing styles
Offensive counterpuncher win as dogs
46% when priced as the underdog (16–19). Also: Big-serving baseliner 45% (24–29); Heavy topspin baseliner 36% (9–16).

Biggest shocks

Closing decimal price · winner and beaten favourite

1ST ROUND · 2023
WonHaase R.—
LostBonzi B.—
Final score7-0 7-6
1ST ROUND · 202316.1% implied
WonPopyrin A.6.20
LostAuger-Aliassime F.1.15
Final score6-4 7-6
1ST ROUND · 202519.9% implied
WonGuinard M.5.02
LostSafiullin R.1.21
Final score7-6 2-6 6-1
1ST ROUND · 202325.0% implied
WonNishioka Y.4.00
LostRune H.1.28
Final score2-6 6-4 6-4
1ST ROUND · 202628.5% implied
WonVukic A.3.51
LostTsitsipas S.1.29
Final score7-6 7-6

Champions

Most recent first. Filled marker is a first title at this event.

6 of 7 shown

2026MachacCurrentbeat Humbert6-4 6-7 6-2
2025Auger-Aliassimebeat Korda6-3 3-6 6-1
2024Leheckabeat Draper4-6 6-4 6-3
2023Kwonbeat Korda6-7 7-6 6-4
2022Monfilsbeat Khachanov6-4 6-4
2021Sinnerbeat Travaglia

Conditions, in the players' words

What players said about the court, the ball and the heat this year. Each note carries the session it came from.

Placeholder copy

Heat and humidity
2025
Said the hot, fast conditions feel like home
Korda
Court pace
2024
Said the balls get very slow and heavy ('lemons') after a few rallies, especially when colder
Kokkinakis
Court pace
2024
Said he feels very confident on this fast court and likes it
Lehecka
Heat and humidity
2024
Separately noted the roofed sessions feel humid and different from open-air play
Lehecka
Night sessions
2023
Said night conditions play slower and lower-bouncing, which helps against huge servers
Djokovic
Ball behaviour
2022
Said the quick courts suit his game, rewarding fast ball recognition
Cilic
Court pace
2022
Found the courts surprisingly fast and low-bouncing, with strong wind disrupting rhythm at times
Heliovaara
Heat and humidity
2020
Said the heat was so extreme that just surviving mattered more than how he played
Bublik
Heat and humidity
2020
Said conditions closely resemble Melbourne: dry, hot and windy
Heliovaara

Recurring themes

Hot conditions
Fast court
Slow bounce
Humid afternoons
Slower under lights
Ball fluffs up

Explore the event

Serving on this court
73%
Service points won
Hold rate
81%
Service games held

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