Events · 2023

Beijing tennis statsATP 500

HARD

City: Beijing

500
Points: 2023
Since

Champion: Sinner · 2025

Conditions and court

How this court played, and how the numbers compare with the tour average on hard.

Court speed

0.93

Slow

Measured from how the week actually played — ace and service-hold rates against what the same players produce elsewhere — so it carries altitude, humidity, ball choice and session conditions the court's own rating cannot see.

Altitude

44 m

Thinner air speeds the ball through the court.

Event averages

Tiebreaks per matchTour hard 0.610.41
Straight-set winsTour hard 66%58%

OWLsense

What the draw and the conditions produced this year, written out and dated.

Champion2025
Sinner is the defending champion.
Champions

Performance by playing style

Win rate here against each style’s ATP average. Top over-performers, bars in decreasing win rate. Which profile the court rewards.

Since 2020 · 90 matches

88%

ALL-COURT

58%

COUNTER-P.

50%

TOPSPIN

43%

SERVE BASE

42%

POWER

Elite all-courter
88%22W-3L
+8 PPATP avg 80%
Offensive counterpuncher
58%21W-15L
+9 PPATP avg 50%
Heavy topspin baseliner
50%11W-11L
≈ AVGATP avg 50%
Big-serving baseliner
43%12W-16L
-12 PPATP avg 55%
Power baseliner
42%13W-18L
-8 PPATP avg 50%

Underdog winners by phase

Share of matches won by the underdog at each round.

Since 2020 · 90 matches

1st Round
11/48
23%
2nd Round
3/24
13%
Quarterfinals
1/10
10%
Semifinals
1/5
20%
The Final
1/3
33%

Early rounds
Favourites mostly hold in the first week
1ST 23% · 2ND 13%. Combined 14 underdog winners in 72 matches.
Quarter-finals
QF is the peak
10% of QF matches (1 of 10). 13 PP below the tour rate for this round.
Closing out
Upsets still land at the end
SF 20% · FINAL 33%. 2 underdog winners in 8 closing matches.
Playing styles
Heavy topspin baseliner win as dogs
33% when priced as the underdog (4–8). Also: Offensive counterpuncher 32% (6–13); Power baseliner 23% (3–10).

Biggest shocks

Closing decimal price · winner and beaten favourite

1ST ROUND · 202522.3% implied
WonMuller A.4.49
LostKhachanov K.1.24
Final score4-6 7-6 6-4
QUARTERFINALS · 202424.4% implied
WonBu Y.4.09
LostRublev A.1.27
Final score7-5 6-4
SEMIFINALS · 202326.5% implied
WonSinner J.3.77
LostAlcaraz C.1.32
Final score7-6 6-1
2ND ROUND · 202328.8% implied
WonHumbert U.3.47
LostRublev A.1.36
Final score5-7 6-3 7-6
1ST ROUND · 202531.4% implied
WonMannarino A.3.18
LostBublik A.1.40
Final score6-3 6-2

Champions

Most recent first. Filled marker is a first title at this event.

3 of 3 shown

2025SinnerCurrentbeat Tien6-2 6-2
2024Alcarazbeat Sinner6-7 6-4 7-6
2023Sinnerbeat Medvedev7-6 7-6

Conditions, in the players' words

What players said about the court, the ball and the heat this year. Each note carries the session it came from.

Placeholder copy

Court feel
2024
Said the balls feel like they get slower every week, making winners very hard to hit for anyone but the fastest hands
Medvedev
Ball behaviour
2023
Said adjusting to a new, quickly-changing ball at every tournament is a constant challenge
Alcaraz
Court pace
2023
Joked that the slow balls make service games easy to break, calling it not great for hard-court tennis despite personally liking it
Medvedev
Court feel
2023
Separately noted the roof-closed conditions played much faster than the outdoor match
Medvedev
Court feel
2023
Said the indoor-like, cooler conditions felt a bit slower
Sinner
Night sessions
2023
Said conditions slowed noticeably moving from a day to a night match, suiting his flatter-hitting opponent
Zverev

Recurring themes

Fast court
Slow bounce
Ball fluffs up
Slower under lights

Beijing

Events · 2023

Beijing tennis statsATP 500

HARD

City: Beijing

500
Points: 2023
Since

Champion: Sinner · 2025

Conditions and court

How this court played, and how the numbers compare with the tour average on hard.

Court speed

0.93

Slow

Altitude

44 m

Thinner air speeds the ball through the court.

Event averages

Tiebreaks per matchTour hard 0.610.41
Straight-set winsTour hard 66%58%

OWLsense

What the draw and the conditions produced this year, written out and dated.

Champion2025
Sinner is the defending champion.
Champions

Performance by playing style

Win rate here against each style’s ATP average. Top over-performers, bars in decreasing win rate. Which profile the court rewards.

Since 2020 · 90 matches

88%

ALL-COURT

58%

COUNTER-P.

50%

TOPSPIN

43%

SERVE BASE

42%

POWER

Elite all-courter
88%22W-3L
+8 PPATP avg 80%
Offensive counterpuncher
58%21W-15L
+9 PPATP avg 50%
Heavy topspin baseliner
50%11W-11L
≈ AVGATP avg 50%
Big-serving baseliner
43%12W-16L
-12 PPATP avg 55%
Power baseliner
42%13W-18L
-8 PPATP avg 50%

Underdog winners by phase

Share of matches won by the underdog at each round.

Since 2020 · 90 matches

1st Round
11/48
23%
2nd Round
3/24
13%
Quarterfinals
1/10
10%
Semifinals
1/5
20%
The Final
1/3
33%

Early rounds
Favourites mostly hold in the first week
1ST 23% · 2ND 13%. Combined 14 underdog winners in 72 matches.
Quarter-finals
QF is the peak
10% of QF matches (1 of 10). 13 PP below the tour rate for this round.
Closing out
Upsets still land at the end
SF 20% · FINAL 33%. 2 underdog winners in 8 closing matches.
Playing styles
Heavy topspin baseliner win as dogs
33% when priced as the underdog (4–8). Also: Offensive counterpuncher 32% (6–13); Power baseliner 23% (3–10).

Biggest shocks

Closing decimal price · winner and beaten favourite

1ST ROUND · 202522.3% implied
WonMuller A.4.49
LostKhachanov K.1.24
Final score4-6 7-6 6-4
QUARTERFINALS · 202424.4% implied
WonBu Y.4.09
LostRublev A.1.27
Final score7-5 6-4
SEMIFINALS · 202326.5% implied
WonSinner J.3.77
LostAlcaraz C.1.32
Final score7-6 6-1
2ND ROUND · 202328.8% implied
WonHumbert U.3.47
LostRublev A.1.36
Final score5-7 6-3 7-6
1ST ROUND · 202531.4% implied
WonMannarino A.3.18
LostBublik A.1.40
Final score6-3 6-2

Champions

Most recent first. Filled marker is a first title at this event.

3 of 3 shown

2025SinnerCurrentbeat Tien6-2 6-2
2024Alcarazbeat Sinner6-7 6-4 7-6
2023Sinnerbeat Medvedev7-6 7-6

Conditions, in the players' words

What players said about the court, the ball and the heat this year. Each note carries the session it came from.

Placeholder copy

Court feel
2024
Said the balls feel like they get slower every week, making winners very hard to hit for anyone but the fastest hands
Medvedev
Ball behaviour
2023
Said adjusting to a new, quickly-changing ball at every tournament is a constant challenge
Alcaraz
Court pace
2023
Joked that the slow balls make service games easy to break, calling it not great for hard-court tennis despite personally liking it
Medvedev
Court feel
2023
Separately noted the roof-closed conditions played much faster than the outdoor match
Medvedev
Court feel
2023
Said the indoor-like, cooler conditions felt a bit slower
Sinner
Night sessions
2023
Said conditions slowed noticeably moving from a day to a night match, suiting his flatter-hitting opponent
Zverev

Recurring themes

Fast court
Slow bounce
Ball fluffs up
Slower under lights

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