Events · 2026

Tokyo tennis statsATP 500

HARD (OUTDOOR)·COMPLETED·30 Sep – 6 Oct

City: Tokyo

500
Points: 2018
Since

Champion: Alcaraz · 2025
Most titles: Sampras · 3
Service pts won: 72%

Conditions and court

How this court played, and how the numbers compare with the tour average on hard.

Court speed

1.18

Fast

Measured from how the week actually played — ace and service-hold rates against what the same players produce elsewhere — so it carries altitude, humidity, ball choice and session conditions the court's own rating cannot see. Showing the 2025 reading until this week's data lands.

Altitude

40 m

Day high 24–32°C · Night low 18–23°C

Event averages

Aces per matchTour hard 7.27.4
Service points wonTour hard 64%72%
Serve heldTour hard 79%81%
Tiebreaks per matchTour hard 0.610.53
Straight-set winsTour hard 66%60%

OWLsense

What the draw and the conditions produced this year, written out and dated.

Champion2025
Alcaraz is the defending champion.
Champions
Serving30 SEP – 6 OCT
Service points won average 72% at this event.
Event averages
RecordAll-time
Sampras leads with 3 titles here.
Event records
Weather30 SEP – 6 OCT
Typical week bands: Day high 24–32°C · Night low 18–23°C.
Conditions

Final

2025

Match report

Champion

Alcaraz

First title here

6-4 6-4

Runner-up

Fritz

Second final here

Performance by playing style

Win rate here against each style’s ATP average. Top over-performers, bars in decreasing win rate. Which profile the court rewards.

Since 2020 · 121 matches

56%

SERVE BASE

54%

POWER

47%

SOLID SV

45%

TOPSPIN

44%

SOLID RTN

40%

COUNTER-P.

Big-serving baseliner
56%31W-24L
+2 PPATP avg 55%
Power baseliner
54%27W-23L
+4 PPATP avg 50%
Solid server
47%9W-10L
+1 PPATP avg 46%
Heavy topspin baseliner
45%14W-17L
-5 PPATP avg 50%
Solid returner
44%7W-9L
+1 PPATP avg 43%
Offensive counterpuncher
40%14W-21L
-10 PPATP avg 50%

Underdog winners by phase

Share of matches won by the underdog at each round.

Since 2020 · 121 matches

1st Round
18/64
28%
2nd Round
5/31
16%
Quarterfinals
6/14
43%
Semifinals
0/8
0%
The Final
1/4
25%

Early rounds
Underdogs bite early
1ST 28% · 2ND 16%. Combined 23 underdog winners in 95 matches.
Quarter-finals
The one late spike
43% of QF matches (6 of 14). 20 PP above the tour rate for this round.
Closing out
Favourites hold from the semis
SF 0% · FINAL 25%. 1 underdog winners in 12 closing matches.
Playing styles
Clay specialist win as dogs
50% when priced as the underdog (4–4). Also: Power baseliner 46% (12–14); Heavy topspin baseliner 36% (5–9).

Biggest shocks

Closing decimal price · winner and beaten favourite

2ND ROUND · 20238.9% implied
WonMochizuki S.11.20
LostFritz T.1.07
Final score0-6 6-4 7-6
1ST ROUND · 202217.3% implied
WonMunar J.5.77
LostRuud C.1.17
Final score6-3 6-3
1ST ROUND · 202322.7% implied
WonThompson J.4.40
LostZverev A.1.25
Final score6-3 6-4
1ST ROUND · 202223.6% implied
WonKwon S.W.4.24
LostDe Minaur A.1.26
Final score6-3 6-2
1ST ROUND · 202326.2% implied
WonMochizuki S.3.81
LostEtcheverry T.1.30
Final score6-4 7-6

Champions

Most recent first. Filled marker is a first title at this event.

6 of 6 shown

2025AlcarazCurrentbeat Fritz6-4 6-4
2024Filsbeat Humbert5-7 7-6 6-3
2023Sheltonbeat Karatsev7-5 6-1
2022Fritzbeat Tiafoe7-6 7-6
2019Djokovicbeat Millman
2018Medvedevbeat Nishikori

Conditions, in the players' words

What players said about the court, the ball and the heat this year. Each note carries the session it came from.

Placeholder copy

Heat and humidity
2024
Said the humid conditions made for a tough match
Fils
Court pace
2023
Said the low-bouncing court suited his opponent better than him that day
Nishioka
Ball behaviour
2023
Described super fast conditions, with balls flying more after a ball change
Paul
Court pace
2023
Said points were quick and he had to force aggression to keep up on this fast, skidding court
Ruud
Court pace
2022
Said the fast court kept points short, which helped him physically after being ill
Fritz
Court pace
2022
Said the court plays faster than average hard courts, favoring big servers and flat hitters, and that he likes it
Kyrgios
Court pace
2022
Said adjusting quickly to the court and balls after a prior tournament was difficult
Nishioka

Recurring themes

Humid afternoons
Ball fluffs up
Fast court

Explore the event

Serving on this court
72%
Service points won
Event records
3 titles
Most by one player
Hold rate
81%
Service games held

Tokyo

Events · 2026

Tokyo tennis statsATP 500

HARD (OUTDOOR)·COMPLETED·30 Sep – 6 Oct

City: Tokyo

500
Points: 2018
Since

Champion: Alcaraz · 2025
Most titles: Sampras · 3
Service pts won: 72%

Conditions and court

How this court played, and how the numbers compare with the tour average on hard.

Court speed

1.18

Fast

Altitude

40 m

Day high 24–32°C · Night low 18–23°C

Event averages

Aces per matchTour hard 7.27.4
Service points wonTour hard 64%72%
Serve heldTour hard 79%81%
Tiebreaks per matchTour hard 0.610.53
Straight-set winsTour hard 66%60%

OWLsense

What the draw and the conditions produced this year, written out and dated.

Champion2025
Alcaraz is the defending champion.
Champions
Serving30 SEP – 6 OCT
Service points won average 72% at this event.
Event averages
RecordAll-time
Sampras leads with 3 titles here.
Event records
Weather30 SEP – 6 OCT
Typical week bands: Day high 24–32°C · Night low 18–23°C.
Conditions

Final

2025

Match report

Champion

Alcaraz

First title here

6-4 6-4

Runner-up

Fritz

Second final here

Performance by playing style

Win rate here against each style’s ATP average. Top over-performers, bars in decreasing win rate. Which profile the court rewards.

Since 2020 · 121 matches

56%

SERVE BASE

54%

POWER

47%

SOLID SV

45%

TOPSPIN

44%

SOLID RTN

40%

COUNTER-P.

Big-serving baseliner
56%31W-24L
+2 PPATP avg 55%
Power baseliner
54%27W-23L
+4 PPATP avg 50%
Solid server
47%9W-10L
+1 PPATP avg 46%
Heavy topspin baseliner
45%14W-17L
-5 PPATP avg 50%
Solid returner
44%7W-9L
+1 PPATP avg 43%
Offensive counterpuncher
40%14W-21L
-10 PPATP avg 50%

Underdog winners by phase

Share of matches won by the underdog at each round.

Since 2020 · 121 matches

1st Round
18/64
28%
2nd Round
5/31
16%
Quarterfinals
6/14
43%
Semifinals
0/8
0%
The Final
1/4
25%

Early rounds
Underdogs bite early
1ST 28% · 2ND 16%. Combined 23 underdog winners in 95 matches.
Quarter-finals
The one late spike
43% of QF matches (6 of 14). 20 PP above the tour rate for this round.
Closing out
Favourites hold from the semis
SF 0% · FINAL 25%. 1 underdog winners in 12 closing matches.
Playing styles
Clay specialist win as dogs
50% when priced as the underdog (4–4). Also: Power baseliner 46% (12–14); Heavy topspin baseliner 36% (5–9).

Biggest shocks

Closing decimal price · winner and beaten favourite

2ND ROUND · 20238.9% implied
WonMochizuki S.11.20
LostFritz T.1.07
Final score0-6 6-4 7-6
1ST ROUND · 202217.3% implied
WonMunar J.5.77
LostRuud C.1.17
Final score6-3 6-3
1ST ROUND · 202322.7% implied
WonThompson J.4.40
LostZverev A.1.25
Final score6-3 6-4
1ST ROUND · 202223.6% implied
WonKwon S.W.4.24
LostDe Minaur A.1.26
Final score6-3 6-2
1ST ROUND · 202326.2% implied
WonMochizuki S.3.81
LostEtcheverry T.1.30
Final score6-4 7-6

Champions

Most recent first. Filled marker is a first title at this event.

6 of 6 shown

2025AlcarazCurrentbeat Fritz6-4 6-4
2024Filsbeat Humbert5-7 7-6 6-3
2023Sheltonbeat Karatsev7-5 6-1
2022Fritzbeat Tiafoe7-6 7-6
2019Djokovicbeat Millman
2018Medvedevbeat Nishikori

Conditions, in the players' words

What players said about the court, the ball and the heat this year. Each note carries the session it came from.

Placeholder copy

Heat and humidity
2024
Said the humid conditions made for a tough match
Fils
Court pace
2023
Said the low-bouncing court suited his opponent better than him that day
Nishioka
Ball behaviour
2023
Described super fast conditions, with balls flying more after a ball change
Paul
Court pace
2023
Said points were quick and he had to force aggression to keep up on this fast, skidding court
Ruud
Court pace
2022
Said the fast court kept points short, which helped him physically after being ill
Fritz
Court pace
2022
Said the court plays faster than average hard courts, favoring big servers and flat hitters, and that he likes it
Kyrgios
Court pace
2022
Said adjusting quickly to the court and balls after a prior tournament was difficult
Nishioka

Recurring themes

Humid afternoons
Ball fluffs up
Fast court

Explore the event

Serving on this court
72%
Service points won
Event records
3 titles
Most by one player
Hold rate
81%
Service games held

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